At 200 bucks per seed I can only afford to buy one seed. What is the chance of it not germinating?
I'm in South Africa, so that's approx 15 USD. Too expensive (& unfortunate) considering the odds.
Where are you buying your seeds that they are costing you 200 bucks? The average cost is between 10 and 20 USD per seed.
If you buy feminized seeds you'll get a female 100% of the time. If you buy plain seeds then you can expect a 50/50 coin flip between male or female.